Incident Management and Modelling (IMM)

Our vision

“To provide the evidence to support communities and partners prepare, respond and recover from flooding and coastal erosion; thereby helping save lives and livelihoods”

Incident Management and Flood Modelling fundamentally underpins all Flood and Coastal Risk Management (FCRM) activities. The Environment Agency Flood Incident Management Plan (2015-2020) sets out its ambition for the service over the next five years. It is in turn based on the foundations outlined within the joint Met Office/Environment Agency Forecasting Plan and the Environment Agency Mapping, Modelling and Data Strategies.

The IMM Theme has a key role to play in equipping us with the evidence, practical research and new capabilities to meet future challenges and enable us to benefit from scientific advancements.

Topic areas

The IMM theme covers a broad range of topic areas including:

  • Data, methods and models for hazard, vulnerability, impact and wider risk assessments (including longer term)
  • Observations and detection
  • Hydro-meteorology
  • Hydrological and hydraulic modelling and forecasting
  • Warning and informing
  • Emergency planning and incident management
  • Uncertainty and decision making
  • Capitalising on technology and innovation


To improve the way incident management and modelling practitioners, partners and communities prepare, respond and recover from flooding; ultimately helping to save lives and livelihoods.

In particular we will focus our efforts to:

  • Enable more proportionate and accurate 'impact-based' and probabilistic forecasts and warnings to support earlier, more tailored and more effective preparations and responses by the emergency responders, communities and those at risk 
  • Provide more accurate and user focussed national and long term assessments of overall flood risk from multiple hazards/processes and joint or subsequent events and their impacts  
  • Work towards more integrated and seamless flood forecasting and modelling capabilities spanning from ‘end-to-end’ (cloud to coast) 
  • Exploit emerging opportunities from 'big data', technology and innovation to deliver more user focused, effective and efficient forecasting  and modelling services and risk assessments 
  • Deliver our research in a way that is useful for the needs of different user groups, supporting evidence based  incident management, emergency planning and flood and coastal risk management decision making more widely
  • Improve the communication and use of science in incident management, and our understanding of how people behave and respond during flood events